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affaan-m/ito-market-intelligence

affaan-m

ito-market-intelligence

Research prediction-market events, venues, underliers, liquidity, and news context for Itô basket workflows. Use for read-only market intelligence, API-gated Itô exploration, and source-grounded prediction-market briefings without investment advice or live trading.

New~567Updated Jul 14, 2026

Itô Market Intelligence

Use this skill when a user wants prediction-market context, event discovery, venue comparison, basket theme exploration, or an Itô API-backed market brief.

This is a public teaser skill. It can work with public sources by default. Any Itô-backed data call requires explicit API access through ITO_API_KEY.

Guardrails

  • Do not provide investment, legal, tax, or trading advice.
  • Do not place, cancel, route, or simulate live orders.
  • Do not infer the user's financial situation unless they provide it.
  • Treat Polymarket, Kalshi, Itô, X, Exa, GitHub, and web data as source inputs, not as truth by themselves.
  • Separate facts, market-implied signals, and your interpretation.

Workflow

  1. Clarify the market theme, venue, geography, and time horizon.
  2. Gather public market data from venue docs/APIs or source-grounded research.
  3. If ITO_API_KEY is present and the user explicitly asks for Itô data, call only read endpoints and state that access is gated.
  4. Normalize event, underlier, liquidity, fee, resolution, and data-latency differences across venues.
  5. Produce a decision brief:
    • market/event summary
    • available venues and underliers
    • liquidity and data-quality caveats
    • relevant news/source context
    • open questions before any user action

Useful Skill Chains

  • Use deep-research or exa-search for source discovery.
  • Use x-api for public social signal discovery when X access is configured.
  • Use market-research for market sizing, competitors, or business use cases.
  • Use prediction-market-risk-review before any workflow touches user capital, portfolio data, or execution-capable credentials.

Output Contract

Default to a compact brief with source links and a clear caveat:

This is market intelligence, not investment or trading advice.

If access is missing, say:

Itô live basket/API data requires gated access. Request an ITO_API_KEY before
using Itô-backed reads.
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Overall Score

77/100

Grade

B

Good

Safety

82

Quality

74

Clarity

80

Completeness

68

Summary

A market intelligence skill guiding agents to research prediction-market events, venues, liquidity, and news without providing investment advice or live trading execution. It integrates public market data sources (Polymarket, Kalshi, etc.) and optional Itô API access when gated by credential, while maintaining strict guardrails against financial advice and order execution.

Detected Capabilities

API request (Itô, Polymarket, Kalshi)Public data aggregation (news, social signals)Credential-gated access pattern (ITO_API_KEY)Read-only data retrievalSource attribution and normalization

Trigger Keywords

Phrases that MCP clients use to match this skill to user intent.

prediction market researchevent discovery venuesmarket liquidity analysisito basket explorationprediction market brief

Risk Signals

INFO

ITO_API_KEY environment variable read for API gating

Workflow section, step 3
INFO

Multiple external API calls (Polymarket, Kalshi, Itô, X, Exa, GitHub)

Workflow section and Useful Skill Chains
INFO

Explicit guardrail against investment/trading advice and order execution

Guardrails section

Use Cases

  • Discover and compare prediction-market events across venues (Polymarket, Kalshi) by theme, geography, or time horizon
  • Explore Itô basket composition, liquidity, and data-latency differences to inform market research
  • Gather source-grounded news context (X, GitHub, Exa) alongside market-implied signals for holistic briefings
  • Evaluate prediction-market risk and data quality before escalating to execution workflows
  • Research underlying assets, resolution criteria, and fee structures for market events

Quality Notes

  • ✓ Clear guardrails against financial advice and live trading — appropriate for read-only market intelligence
  • ✓ Explicit credential gating (ITO_API_KEY) — access control is documented and conditional
  • ✓ Source attribution required — skill distinguishes facts from market signals from interpretation
  • ✓ Workflow is concise and logical — five steps from clarification through decision brief
  • ✓ Output contract defined — users know what to expect and understand the liability caveat
  • ⚠ Skill chains reference other skills without full specification — assumes availability of deep-research, exa-search, x-api, market-research, prediction-market-risk-review
  • ⚠ Public API rate limits not documented — Polymarket, Kalshi, Exa may have quota constraints not mentioned
  • ⚠ Data freshness and latency trade-offs mentioned but not quantified — 'data-quality caveats' is vague without concrete examples
  • ⚠ Edge cases (market unavailable, API down, stale quotes) not explicitly addressed
Model: claude-haiku-4-5-20251001Analyzed: Jul 14, 2026

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Version History

  1. v1.1

    Content updated

    ✦ AINo behavioral change detected.

    2026-07-14

    Latest
  2. v1.0

    2026-05-25

    View This VersionInitial version

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